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IMPACT OF THE NIGERIAN STOCK EXCHANGE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH.
ABSTRACT
This study examines the impact of the Nigerian stock exchange on economic growth from 1981 to 2011. GDP is the dependent variable, a proxy for economic growth. Market capitalization is a proxy for the Nigerian stock exchange. Other explanatory variables were employed in the model. This study employs the ordinary least square (OLS) methods of estimation, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation covariance (HAC) in order to avoid spurious regression results. The E-views 6.0 was employed in the regression analysis. In executing this study, the ADF (augumented dickey fuller) test and the Unit Root Test was carried out to test the stationarity of the variables. The result shows that the market capitalization, interest rate, total number of listed securities, number of deals and foreign direct investment satisfy the economic apriori expectation while the total number of issues and the value of deals negates the apriori expectation. The stationarity test shows that all the variables employed are stationary at first difference. The ADF test shows a longrun relationship among the variables in the model of study. Using the t-test, it is revealed that only three (3) variables are significant in the explanation of the dependent variable (GDP) while the remaining four variables are insignificant. Recommendations are made based on the result.
Key words: GDP, market capitalization, stock market.